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November, Friday 20 2009 - 17:47:44
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Did High Oil Prices cause the Financial Crash?

Did High Oil Prices cause the Financial Crash? By GIUSEPPE MARCONI, 2009/11/18

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It was in fact high oil prices which caused the financial crisis we have experienced in the past two years.
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Must Read:

Did Buffett buy Railways because of Peak Oil? By STEVE AUSTIN, 2009/11/12

Why would anyone with the cumulative intelligence of Buffett and his advisers buy a major stake in the decrepit US railroad system? Warren's move to buy this railroad is motivated by the following calculated bets:
His awareness of the imminent oil crisis and his long term vision of what life will be like with oil shortages. Oil is on a roller-coaster ride. Demand is soaring, particularly from energy hungry economies like India and China. But production is decreasing with Peak oil, point where the maximum rate of oil extraction is reached, predicted in 2010 by the ASPO (Association for the Study of Peak Oil and Gas). If not 2010, as previously reported in Oil-Price.net many analysts believe that the oil peak would most certainly be achieved by 2020. This will cause serious adjustments in nations around the world and the US in particular.

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Why does OPEC lie about its oil reserves? By MERLIN LAFLEUR, 2009/11/05

Can fiction masquerade itself as fact? Well, there's a case study at hand-OPEC and its reserves. OPEC's crude oil reserves grew by almost 7.9 percent in 2008-from 940 barrels in 2007 to 952 billion barrels. This is attributed to the 'reassessment' of proven crude reserves of a member country Venezuela. Why, then, is there scepticism on this news?

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Oil supply crunch and the world. By MERLIN LAFLEUR, 2009/10/28

Then the common man's dream saw result-oil prices marched downwards. So, there ought to have been celebration everywhere, only the euphoria was missing. The reason: underinvestment in oil was equally bad. And, The International Energy agency estimates that an oil crunch could happen earlier than 2020 because of increased demands.

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Loss of elasticity in the oil price. By STEVE AUSTIN, 2009/10/21

Crude oil prices have surged to year high recently, as the economy is showing its first signs of recovery. Mark my words: the economy is not booming, far from that. There are however some signs that the worst part is behind us. But a surge in oil prices like we are witnessing seems out of proportion with today's growth, stagnant at best.

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China could displace US Dollar dominance By MERLIN LAFLEUR, 2009/10/14

Until now, the US dollar has been used as the sole oil trading currency around the globe. But last weeks rumors started to surface that a secret meeting took place between Gulf Arab oil producers and some oil importing states trying to decide on an alternative currency to dollar for transactions.

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  • "Peak Oil" and directions in the oil industry by JeriCan - 2007/05/30

    We are reaching closer to 'peak oil' with each passing day. Analysts predict the inevitable to come with this century. Present measures taken, the future consumption of petroleum in America may drop and possibly even decrease, but are biofuels really the key to the solution?

    European countries have already made a switch to biofuels and are beginning to feel the effects and complications. While it hasn't resulted in direct food shortages, biodiesel is already causing shortages of vegetable oils.

    Will countries like China and India follow this trend in energy conversion? It is difficult to imagine any country with enormous population would make such a move. This conversion could result in massive world food shortages as never experienced. Both countries realize this and are pursuing aggressive oil exploration.
    Some American environmentalists believe that it is possible to make a complete switch from crude oil to alternatives by 2050. This is very unrealistic as crude oil provides us with more than just a form of energy. It is a raw source of chemicals for manufacturing drugs, plastics, chemicals, and fabrics.

    So what is the realistic solution with the arrival of peak oil? Canada, USA, and Venezuela sit on more unconventional oil than all historical conventional crude and present reserves that are available. Peak oil does not mean an abrupt end to oil. It does mean that demand of conventional oil will exceed supplies of conventional crude. This spells the end to cheap crude.

    Extracting oil out of America's huge oil shale deposits is once again drawing attention. It will be successful as new technology comes on stream. With higher crude prices there will be decent returns in revenue. It will inspire more interest and new ideas. Oil companies' attention will once again be drawn to this area.

    This is the era for non-conventional oils. Needs, economics and unrealistic alternatives will make us realize that the world can adapt to and meet these challenges. Non-conventional supplies of crude oil will play an important role in the generations to come.


    Did you know? by JeriCan - 2007/05/29

    Oil shale crude is actually composed of kerogen. It is a waxy organic substance that was formed from algae, plants, vegetation, and all forms of animal life. Through millions of years, covered in layers of sediment, and subjected to very high pressures a transformation occurred resulting into a form of non-conventional crude oil embedded in layers of sediment. When subjected to very high temperatures it converts into various liquid and gas hydrocarbons. Kerogen can be refined like regular high quality light crude oil.
    Sitting on Two Trillion Barrels of Crude by JeriCan - 2006/12/29

    This may sound like a fiction story but it is true! While total world resources of oil shale are conservatively estimated at 2.6 trillion barrels, US sits on close to two trillion barrels of crude. Possibly more than all the crude than was ever produced worldwide since petroleum age began.

    The Green River Shale Formation encompassing the States of Colorado, Utah and Wyoming was first discovered in 1924. This famous shale formation covers tens of thousands of square miles. It is found in three different ancient lake basins. The layers of sediment in this formation stretch undisturbed for many miles.

    This shale is a soft sedimentary rock that readily fractures into layers, composed of minute particles of clay, which may easily be removed. It was formed from multi layers through erosion. There are 40 million layers in one part of this formation. Deposits within these layers are fossilized plant, animal life and algae, which has turned over millions of years into kerogen. Some claims have been made that this was formed from the Great Flood of Biblical times. Geologists say that this formation was formed through countless floods perhaps through 500 to 700 millions of years.

    There are two conventional approaches to oil shale processing. In one, the shale is fractured and heated to obtain gases and liquids by wells. The second is by mining, transporting, and heating the shale to about 450oC, adding hydrogen to the resulting product, and disposing of and stabilizing the waste. Both processes use considerable water. The total energy and water requirements together with environmental and monetary costs have so far made production uneconomic. During the oil crisis of the 1970's, major oil companies spent several billion dollars in various unsuccessful attempts to commercially extract shale oil.

    After initial attempts proved to be too expensive and were shelved some ten years ago, a host of energy companies are revisiting technologies to successfully extract kerogen from shale and economically turn it into crude oil. Participating giant Shell Oil representative, Terry O'Cannon states, "We try to keep them from speculating too much and keep expectations low because we don't know if this technology will be successful and viable in the long term."


    Did you know? by JeriCan - 2006/12/28

    In 1878 Thomas Edison invented the first electric light bulb. This single invention proved to be so popular that it caused a major recession in the oil industry. Since 1856 kerosene lamps were used in homes and street lamps. Historians state that the introduction of kerosene initiated the oil industry. Sales and production of kerosene trickled to a standstill as electricity and the electric light bulbs caught on quickly.
    In 1908 Henry Ford's mass produced automobile started a demand for gasoline and initiated an oil boom. Oil Pipelines were built from oilfields in Texas to refineries in the eastern US. With the introduction and public acceptance of mass-produced automobiles the Modern Era of Petroleum began.

    Placing the drill bit to record depths : Pt 2 by JeriCan - 2006/11/26

    The Jack Field oil discovery was greeted by the American news media with euphoria. On September 6,2006, The New York Times carried this big headline, "New Oil Field in Gulf May Yield Billions of Barrels". Initial resource estimates touted by CNBC and other main-stream financial outlets declared that somewhere close to 15 billion barrels of oil and natural gas liquids are in the newly discovered Jack Field.

    Clearly this was the biggest positive news to hit the American business world. Potential of this oil discovery could jolt the American economy and possibly lift a financial burden due to costly oil imports. Commodity markets reacted quickly. There was an immediate ripple effect on global oil prices.

    Hoopla came to a quick end when knowledgeable oil people scrutinized this new oil find. First and foremost, a successful test well does not prove how much oil is actually in the ground. Determining an in-place reserve takes a highly skilled team of petroleum geologists more than just several months to calculate.

    When drawing oil from extreme depths under the ocean bottom, problems arise from high pressures. Oil being pumped to the surface is very hot. It must be cooled before it is pumped onto a tanker vessel. Along with the hot pressurized crude there is a mix of natural gas. This must be separated and somehow stored, or shipped two hundred miles to the mainland. This is not an easy feat as natural gas is lightweight, bulky and not easy to compress.

    Environmentalists immediately expressed their major concern. Jack Field is located in the midst of a direct path of category 3 and 4 hurricanes. The closest inland shore is 200 miles away. If a serious hurricane strikes it could be a multi-million dollar disaster

    Financial analysts looked at the very high costs of developing this field. What will the production costs end up at? No one can be certain that this new oil find will be a profitable success even at current high crude prices.

    Lets assume that all issues are addressed and there really is a potential reserve of 15 billion barrels of crude in Jack Field. Today the U.S. consumes about 22 MMbbls/day. By 2010, America will likely be consuming about 25 MMbbls/day. At that consumption rate, those 15 billion barrels of crude would only give the United States a 21 month supply!


    Did you know? by JeriCan - 2006/11/25

    A clean-burning kerosene lamp invented by Michael Dietz in 1857 saved the whales from extinction. Prior to the 1800s, torches, candles made from tallow, and lamps which burned oils rendered from animal fat were in popular use.

    In the late 1700s sperm whale oil was popular for lamp oils and candles because it burned with less odor and smoke than most fuels. However, sperm oil was very expensive. A gallon in the early 1800s cost about $2.00, which in modern values equates slightly over $200 a gallon.

    The demand for whale oil took a tremendous toll on whales, and some species were driven to the very brink of extinction. In the Early 1800s whales were killed at a rate of about 15,000 per year. Sources estimated that there were 50,000 of various species of whales remaining in 1850.

    Invention of the kerosene lamp had an immediate impact on the whale industry. Kerosene was easy to produce, cheap, smelled better than animal-based fuels when burned, and did not spoil on the shelf as whale oil did. Most people could afford kerosene; it sold for less than 7 cents a gallon.

    The public abandoned whale oil lamps almost overnight. If it had not been for the invention of kerosene lamp and abundance of cheap kerosene the whales would soon have become extinct.


    Placing the drill bit to record depths : Pt 1 by JeriCan - 2006/11/13

    Until recently, seismic images from below deep salt formations were muffled and largely useless. New advanced mathematical formulas and other new technology allow interpreting the images, bringing potential new discoveries of oil and gas from the depths of the ocean.

    Chevron Corp. and partners Devon Energy Corp. and Statoil ASA have initiated this new technology to explore further into the Gulf of Mexico. Located 270 miles southwest of New Orleans, is the region of exploration by the Consortium, named Jack Field. It is a 300-mile-wide swath of the Gulf that lies below miles of water and deep within a bed of ancient rocks.

    Using newly designed floating oil rig platforms, which can withstand the regores of Gulf storms and drill deeper than their predecessors, they have met success. On September 6, 2006 the Consortium announced that they might have discovered America's biggest source of oil since the discovery of Alaska's North Slope more than a generation ago.

    Below 7,000 feet of water the drill bit went through a total of 28,175 feet, or a distance of 6.6 miles from surface of the drilling platform. The Consortium stated that the well sustained a flow rate of more than 6,000 barrels of crude oil a day during the production test.

    The Jack 1 and Jack 2 are among the world's deepest off shore production wells. The costs according to industry officials is a staggering $100 million! According to one company official, "Without current price of oil this project would have never been affordable."


    Did you know? by JeriCan - 2006/11/12

    In 1924, the discovery of an oil field beneath the Nash salt dome in Brazoria County, Texas, was the first to be based on single-fold seismic data. Before that, oilfield exploration was very much a guessing game based on surface signs. Stakes were high, and rewards could be tremendous, but losses from dry holes could be devastating. Then, engineers and geoscientists discovered that they could use low-frequency sound waves to map subsurface geologic structures and locate possible hydrocarbon traps.

    Today, 3D-seismic technology is applied to solve problems and reduce uncertainties across the entire range of exploration, development, and production operations. Surveys are used to characterize and model reservoirs, to plan and execute enhanced-oil-recovery strategies, and to monitor fluid movement in reservoirs as they are developed and produced. These capabilities have been made possible by advancements in data acquisition, processing, and interpretation that have both improved accuracy and reduced turnaround time.

    1. Signal emitted by vibrator truck
    2. Reflected waves received by geophones
    3. Data transmitted to laboratory truck

    Novel Oil Recovery by JeriCan - 2006/10/29

    It is often assumed that most of the oil can be pumped and recovered from an oil pool. Unfortunately this is rarely possible even with the use of horizontal wells.

    Oil wells drilled in the Southern United States have an initial recovery rate of 20 percent. Enhanced recovery techniques such as water flooding and carbon dioxide flooding are then employed to extract an additional 40 percent of the oil. The remaining 40 percent of the resource is still untapped. This may seem insignificant until one looks at actual number of barrels of crude.

    American researchers in Mississippi hope to tap into the 40 percent of which remains in most petroleum reservoirs after use of standard production techniques. What is really interesting about their research is the method to be used. It is environmentally friendly and initial costs seem to be very affordable.

    Indigenous bacteria are injected into the oil-bearing formation. The particular bacterium flourishes in this environment and eventually changes the pathway of water injection. This forces oil into new channels and accumulations of oil. Coupled with carbon dioxide flooding this will result in much greater recovery of oil than either previous technology alone.

    It will be interesting to see how successful this experimental project is. Researchers are hoping for high recovery rates. At the current price of crude even a small increase in recovery can be very significant.


  • Did you know? Oil and bamboos

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